Stone Cold FantasyStone ColdFantasy Football
7 DAYS
The Film Room · 2026

Breakout Candidates

Players I think are on the verge of career-best production. The model scouts the measured profile — second- and third-year players who have never finished startable, holding a starting job — and I make the final calls.

Omarion Hampton
Lead call
RBOmarion HamptonLAC

Nine games, 4.4 yards a carry, and he still finished as a top-16 back on a rookie ankle. Najee Harris is gone, the line's healthy, and Mike McDaniel just walked in the door. This is the easiest breakout call on the board.

  • Luther Burden
    WRLuther BurdenCHI

    DJ Moore's target share just opened up in Chicago, and Burden was the most efficient rookie receiver in football when he actually saw the ball — 2.69 yards per route, best of any rookie by three quarters of a yard, and third among every receiver who ran 150. Ben Johnson said this offseason he's "buying Luther Burden stock right now."

  • Rome Odunze
    WRRome OdunzeCHI

    DJ Moore's in Buffalo now, which means the 85 targets he was soaking up are just sitting there. Odunze led the Bears in receiving anyway — 661 yards on 90 targets before a foot injury ended his year after Week 13 — and Ben Johnson has publicly admitted the staff owes him better usage.

  • Cam Skattebo
    RBCam SkatteboNYG

    Half a rookie year was the audition: 101 carries, five rushing scores, and three catches a game before the ankle ended his season at eight games. He's fully cleared now, and he's been the clear lead back all camp. The breakout case isn't a projection of new talent — it's the role he already held, played over seventeen weeks instead of eight.

  • RBBhayshul TutenJAX

    Travis Etienne signed with the Saints in free agency. Tuten played 21% of the snaps behind him as a rookie — that was a depth chart problem, not a talent problem, and the depth chart just cleared out.

A breakout pick is a profile bet, not a prediction: about 1 in 6 players fitting the model's profile break out, against about 1 in 30 for everyone else. These are my picks — mine to answer for, logged the day they publish and graded when the season ends.

THE 2026 FILM ROOM · MY PICKS, MODEL-ASSISTED · EVERY PICK LOGGED ON PUBLISH AND GRADED AT SEASON’S END

Photo credits

  • Luther Burden: photo by All-Pro Reels from District of Columbia, USA, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
  • Omarion Hampton: photo by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
  • Rome Odunze: photo by Cpl. Alexander Devereux, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
  • Cam Skattebo: photo by utrhighlightvideos, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

More from the Film Room

All articles →